Tuesday, September 2, 2008

There's a section in most marketing and consumer behavior texts on subliminal perception. For years I've taught what the "experts" say about it; that it generally can't be proven to work. The technique was used in attempts to manipulate consumers with subliminal messages flashed onto movie screens…and even inside television programs that invite the viewer to "eat popcorn," "drink Coke," and "sign the REPC."

I'm just kidding about "sign the REPC," but what if it was possible to evoke automatic responses from customers that do not involve conscious thought-as the technique theorizes it can?

Well, in my classes I've repeated the findings by experts that they can't make it work-and so the technique has generally been discredited. But I just read this article on the Discovery News web site that may be of interest-as some recent experiments are generating results that appear to support the original theories.

Discovery News article link


The studies have a slant toward explain intuition. Intuition has come in quite handy when attempting to read our client's minds, don't you think? ;-))

For example, a poker player who somehow always knows when to fold or call a bluff may be picking up on telltale signals from his opponents, using a part of his brain unrelated to conscious thought.

Sometimes we actually can sense what we need to do…or what the client will say…so, then, perhaps we can help the client say it?

Being a male, however, there are two things that women do that are remarkable (and thanks to Jimmy Buffett and Glenn Frey of the Eagles for pointing them out): Women always know before we tell them, and, they can open a door with just a smile.


From The Porch ...












Mike B. Class Star®

Monday, July 21, 2008

Oh No! I Want My Starbucks!

In other newsworthy happenings, here’s a link to a U.S. map…

… to figure out if your favorite Starbucks is going to be closed…



http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/info-STARBUCKS_080718.html



Maybe the folks that went to the effort of creating this map and story have had a few too many Starbucks this week.

Online, several "Save Our Starbucks" petitions have popped up for stores across the country, including locations in San Diego, Dallas and New York City.


from The Porch…











Mike B.

Class Star®

Show me the....errr...actually, where does it come from?

Where does the money come from?


Fannie Mae's real name, Federal National Mortgage Association, was a deal to jump start mortgage lending. It is a corporation that was privatized in 1968 and currently trades on the New York stock exchange. Its mission (among others) is to guarantee mortgages for a fee. It also sets a ceiling for the size of a mortgage it will back. The limit is half again higher in Hawaii, Alaska and Guam than on the U.S. mainland.










Fannie Mae takes mortgage loans from banks, in order to repackage them in the form of mortgage-backed securities.

Those mortgage-backed securities are sold to investors, and Fannie Mae guarantees that the loans will be repaid. Fannie Mae also borrows money from the debt markets usually at a rate much lower than other banks, and uses it to buy mortgages it holds as its own investments.

By buying these loans, Fannie Mae injects new money into the housing economy.

Current Problems







Guaranteed Mortgages

Fannie Mae's exposure to the housing market has soared. Its outstanding guaranteed mortgages tripled from 1998 to 2007.

Delinquency Rates

The delinquency rate on Fannie Mae mortgages is rising. This increases the chance that the company will have to make good on its guarantees.

Borrowing Costs

Borrowing costs are volatile and rising, reflecting investor concerns about Fannie Mae's health.

What Is the Reach of the Problems?

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (a competing mortgage lender) own or guarantee about half of the nation's $12 trillion mortgage market.

Housing Markets

They provide the capital that banks use to write new loans. If Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac stop buying loans, banks may stop making new loans, freezing the United States housing market.

These mortgage operations provide stability and liquidity to the mortgage market. If it is harder for them to borrow money, mortgage interest rates will rise.

Financial Markets

Virtually every Wall Street bank and many overseas financial institutions, central banks and investors do business with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.









What Are the Consequences of a Government Bailout?

Paying for Losses

A bailout would potentially put taxpayers on the hook for billions to offset Fannie's and Freddie's losses.

National Debt

It would most likely make it more expensive for the United States government to borrow money in the future, since the government's potential obligations, which currently stand at about $9 trillion, would rise by an additional $5 trillion.

Investors Suffer

Shares of Fannie and Freddie would probably be worth little or nothing.

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Sources: New York Times, Fannie Mae; Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight; Bloomberg








from The Porch…










Mike B. Class Star®